Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan St.
Big Ten
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.9#6
Expected Predictive Rating+19.7#3
Pace67.3#220
Improvement-5.5#337

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#6
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.7#221

Defense
Total Defense+9.0#6
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-4.8#338
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 18.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 55.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 99.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round93.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen68.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight41.2% n/a n/a
Final Four22.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.6% n/a n/a
National Champion5.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 294   North Florida W 98-66 99%     1 - 0 +21.1 -5.4 -5.4
  Nov 14, 2017 2   Duke L 81-88 39%     1 - 1 +13.7 +10.4 +10.4
  Nov 19, 2017 222   Stony Brook W 93-71 98%     2 - 1 +15.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 23, 2017 101   DePaul W 73-51 88%     3 - 1 +26.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Nov 24, 2017 153   Connecticut W 77-57 93%     4 - 1 +20.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Nov 26, 2017 7   North Carolina W 63-45 51%     5 - 1 +35.7 +8.9 +8.9
  Nov 30, 2017 32   Notre Dame W 81-63 80%     6 - 1 +26.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Dec 03, 2017 51   Nebraska W 86-57 85%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +35.7 +3.3 +3.3
  Dec 05, 2017 121   @ Rutgers W 62-52 87%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +16.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Dec 09, 2017 267   Southern Utah W 88-63 99%     9 - 1 +15.7 -4.6 -4.6
  Dec 16, 2017 175   Oakland W 86-73 95%     10 - 1 +12.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Dec 18, 2017 334   Houston Baptist W 107-62 99.5%    11 - 1 +28.7 -8.2 -8.2
  Dec 21, 2017 201   Long Beach St. W 102-60 97%     12 - 1 +36.6 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 29, 2017 300   Cleveland St. W 111-61 99%     13 - 1 +38.8 -5.6 -5.6
  Dec 31, 2017 324   Savannah St. W 108-52 99%     14 - 1 +42.5 -6.7 -6.7
  Jan 04, 2018 45   Maryland W 91-61 84%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +37.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 07, 2018 17   @ Ohio St. L 64-80 53%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +1.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Jan 10, 2018 121   Rutgers W 76-72 OT 94%     16 - 2 4 - 1 +4.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 13, 2018 10   Michigan L 72-82 68%     16 - 3 4 - 2 +3.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Jan 19, 2018 66   Indiana W 85-57 88%     17 - 3 5 - 2 +32.9 +2.5 +2.5
  Jan 22, 2018 94   @ Illinois W 87-74 82%     18 - 3 6 - 2 +21.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Jan 26, 2018 64   Wisconsin W 76-61 88%     19 - 3 7 - 2 +20.3 +2.6 +2.6
  Jan 28, 2018 45   @ Maryland W 74-68 67%     20 - 3 8 - 2 +19.5 +6.7 +6.7
  Jan 31, 2018 28   Penn St. W 76-68 80%     21 - 3 9 - 2 +17.1 +4.6 +4.6
  Feb 03, 2018 66   @ Indiana W 63-60 75%     22 - 3 10 - 2 +14.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Feb 06, 2018 86   @ Iowa W 96-93 79%     23 - 3 11 - 2 +12.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 10, 2018 4   Purdue W 68-65 61%     24 - 3 12 - 2 +18.1 +7.5 +7.5
  Feb 13, 2018 109   @ Minnesota W 87-57 84%     25 - 3 13 - 2 +37.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 17, 2018 79   @ Northwestern W 65-60 78%     26 - 3 14 - 2 +14.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Feb 20, 2018 94   Illinois W 81-61 92%     27 - 3 15 - 2 +22.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 25, 2018 64   @ Wisconsin W 68-63 74%     28 - 3 16 - 2 +16.3 +5.7 +5.7
  Mar 02, 2018 64   Wisconsin W 63-60 82%     29 - 3 +11.3 +4.1 +4.1
  Mar 03, 2018 10   Michigan L 64-75 57%     29 - 4 +5.2 +8.1 +8.1
Projected Record 29.0 - 4.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.4 18.5 36.7 36.0 8.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 2.4 18.5 36.7 36.0 8.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 100.0%